Saturday, July 28, 2012

Scrutiny-LATIN AMERICA: CHARISMATIC CONUNDRUM

Latin American states are led by Iconic Leaders who last The Short term, while North America is led by Democratically elected leaders through strong Institutional structures, which last the long term. Time enough for South American nations to gain from institutionalising Governance Structures than depend on individuals

But this has created problems for them too. Latin American states have always struggled to find their rightful successors. Thus, even though many assumed rightly that Raul Castro would be the successor to his elder brother in Cuba, there were ambiguities and speculations after Raul’s health problems in 2006.

The story is quite different in case of United States. While South America was led by popular leaders, North America was always led by leaders elected through the institution of democracy. Thus, US succeeded in establishing stronger institutions rather than just leaders. In US, leaders are held accountable unlike in Latin America, where leaders have emerged and stood above institutions. More importantly, when power is institutionalised rather than individualised, there is always a replacement/successor in place of the premier.

That is why Latin American states have a higher probability of facing trouble during transfer of power. This also gives enough reasons for states like North Korea as well as Russia to be concerned. North Korea was ruled and led by Kim Jong II since the 1980s. His authoritative and dictatorial command didn’t create many options as successors. Similarly, Russia has been run by Vladimir Putin since the 1990s. Even though Medvedev is virtually leading the state, actual power is still in the hands of Putin. In such a situation, if Putin were to vanish from the scene, it will invite political crisis.

These states can learn from China’s example as well. A communist state, China – rather than run on the whims of an individual – is being run by the Communist Party of China since 1949, which has a clearly defined planning process. This gives China stability as well as flexibility in leadership change and transfer of power within members of the ruling party and national leadership.